Daniel Merida Aguilar v Andrey Rublev
Back to board
Tennis·ATP US Open· 2026-09-02 · 15:00

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Andrey Rublev

Recommended bet
Andrey Rublev
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability61%
Implied (with margin)60%
Model edge+1.5%
Odds1.67 4/6
Why the model leans this way
  • Andrey Rublev holds serve 84% of games vs Daniel Merida Aguilar's 75%
  • Andrey Rublev serves aces on 9% of points vs Daniel Merida Aguilar's 5%
Best valueAndrey Rublev+5.3% EV@ 1.67highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Andrey Rublev to win63%1.59
Daniel Merida Aguilar to win37%2.71
Match Winner — Andrey Rublev1.67
Match Winner — Daniel Merida Aguilar2.58