Daniel Merida Aguilar v Daniil Medvedev
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Tennis·ATP Wimbledon· 2026-07-01 · 13:30

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Daniil Medvedev

Recommended bet
Daniil Medvedev
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability92%
Implied (with margin)96%
Model edge-4.6%
Odds1.04 1/25
Why the model leans this way
  • Daniil Medvedev holds serve 83% of games vs Daniel Merida Aguilar's 75%
  • Daniil Medvedev double-faults on 5% of serve points vs Daniel Merida Aguilar's 3%
  • Daniil Medvedev serves aces on 10% of points vs Daniel Merida Aguilar's 5%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Daniil Medvedev to win66%1.51
Daniel Merida Aguilar to win34%2.96
Match Winner — Daniel Merida Aguilar23.00
Match Winner — Daniil Medvedev1.04