Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-03 · 15:00

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Liam Draxl

Recommended bet

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketMed

Win probability57%

Implied (with margin)58%

Model edge-0.5%

Odds1.73 8/11

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Daniel Merida Aguilar56%

Liam Draxl45%

$27,093 liquidity · $1,004 traded · data from Polymarket

Best valueDaniel Merida Aguilar+9.0% EV@ 1.73highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Daniel Merida Aguilar to win63%1.59—

Liam Draxl to win37%2.70—

Match Winner — Daniel Merida Aguilar—1.75—

Match Winner — Liam Draxl—2.16—