Daria Kasatkina v Naomi Osaka
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Daria Kasatkina v Naomi Osaka
Recommended bet
Naomi Osaka
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability74%
Implied (with margin)81%
Model edge-7.8%
Odds1.24 1/4
Why the model leans this way
- Naomi Osaka holds serve 75% of games vs Daria Kasatkina's 60%
- Daria Kasatkina wins only 41% of 2nd-serve points (Naomi Osaka: 48%)
- Daria Kasatkina double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Naomi Osaka's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Naomi Osaka to win60%1.66—
Daria Kasatkina to win40%2.52—
Match Winner — Daria Kasatkina—4.80—
Match Winner — Naomi Osaka—1.27—