Donna Vekic v Iga Swiatek
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Tennis·WTA China Open· 2026-10-05 · 03:00

Donna Vekic v Iga Swiatek

Recommended bet
Iga Swiatek
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability91%
Implied (with margin)90%
Model edge+0.7%
Odds1.11 1/9
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Donna Vekic11%
Iga Swiatek90%
$18,356 liquidity · $39 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Iga Swiatek holds serve 77% of games vs Donna Vekic's 68%
  • Donna Vekic wins only 43% of 2nd-serve points (Iga Swiatek: 50%)
  • Donna Vekic double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Iga Swiatek's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Iga Swiatek to win89%1.13—
Donna Vekic to win11%8.87—
Match Winner — Donna Vekic—9.92—
Match Winner — Iga Swiatek—1.11—