Tennis·WTA China Open· 2026-10-04 · 03:00

Ekaterina Alexandrova v Diana Shnaider

Recommended bet

Diana Shnaider

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh

Win probability65%

Implied (with margin)69%

Model edge-5.4%

Odds1.45 4/9

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Ekaterina Alexandrova34%

Diana Shnaider67%

$43,704 liquidity · $313 traded · data from Polymarket

Why the model leans this way

Ekaterina Alexandrova double-faults on 6% of serve points vs Diana Shnaider's 5%
Ekaterina Alexandrova serves aces on 7% of points vs Diana Shnaider's 3%

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Diana Shnaider to win56%1.78—

Ekaterina Alexandrova to win44%2.29—

Match Winner — Diana Shnaider—1.46—

Match Winner — Ekaterina Alexandrova—2.97—