Emma Navarro v Karolina Muchova
Back to board
Tennis·WTA US Open· 2026-09-04 · 15:00

Emma Navarro v Karolina Muchova

Recommended bet
Karolina Muchova
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge-4.7%
Odds1.26 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Emma Navarro22%
Karolina Muchova79%
$20,922 liquidity · $795 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Karolina Muchova holds serve 74% of games vs Emma Navarro's 67%
  • Emma Navarro double-faults on 5% of serve points vs Karolina Muchova's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Karolina Muchova to win68%1.47—
Emma Navarro to win32%3.13—
Match Winner — Emma Navarro—4.70—
Match Winner — Karolina Muchova—1.27—