Tennis·ATP US Open· 2026-09-03 · 15:00

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Karen Khachanov

Recommended bet

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh

Win probability69%

Implied (with margin)71%

Model edge-2.5%

Odds1.41 2/5

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Felix Auger-Aliassime71%

Karen Khachanov30%

$108,678 liquidity · $2,332 traded · data from Polymarket

Why the model leans this way

Felix Auger-Aliassime double-faults on 4% of serve points vs Karen Khachanov's 3%

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Felix Auger-Aliassime to win63%1.59—

Karen Khachanov to win37%2.71—

Match Winner — Felix Auger-Aliassime—1.41—

Match Winner — Karen Khachanov—3.35—