Frances Tiafoe v Alexander Bublik
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Tennis·ATP Wimbledon· 2026-07-04 · 09:00

Frances Tiafoe v Alexander Bublik

Recommended bet
Frances Tiafoe
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability53%
Implied (with margin)57%
Model edge-7.8%
Odds1.75 8/11
Why the model leans this way
  • Alexander Bublik double-faults on 6% of serve points vs Frances Tiafoe's 3%
  • Alexander Bublik serves aces on 14% of points vs Frances Tiafoe's 9%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Alexander Bublik to win54%1.86
Frances Tiafoe to win46%2.17
Match Winner — Alexander Bublik2.20
Match Winner — Frances Tiafoe1.77