Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-04 · 23:00

Frances Tiafoe v Marin Cilic

Recommended bet

Frances Tiafoe

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketMed

Win probability61%

Implied (with margin)63%

Model edge-3.2%

Odds1.58 4/7

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Frances Tiafoe63%

Marin Cilic38%

$48,510 liquidity · $867 traded · data from Polymarket

Best valueMarin Cilic+6.4% EV@ 2.58highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Frances Tiafoe to win59%1.70—

Marin Cilic to win41%2.42—

Match Winner — Frances Tiafoe—1.58—

Match Winner — Marin Cilic—2.58—