Francisco Cerundolo v Jakub Mensik
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Tennis·ATP China Open· 2026-10-03 · 03:00

Francisco Cerundolo v Jakub Mensik

Recommended bet
Jakub Mensik
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability61%
Implied (with margin)65%
Model edge-6.2%
Odds1.53 8/15
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Francisco Cerundolo36%
Jakub Mensik65%
$37,203 liquidity · $70 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Jakub Mensik holds serve 83% of games vs Francisco Cerundolo's 77%
  • Francisco Cerundolo wins 40% of return points vs Jakub Mensik's 36%
  • Jakub Mensik serves aces on 14% of points vs Francisco Cerundolo's 5%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Jakub Mensik to win53%1.88—
Francisco Cerundolo to win47%2.13—
Match Winner — Francisco Cerundolo—2.68—
Match Winner — Jakub Mensik—1.54—