Hubert Hurkacz v James Duckworth
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Tennis·ATP Shanghai Masters· 2026-10-08 · 04:00

Hubert Hurkacz v James Duckworth

Recommended bet
Hubert Hurkacz
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability66%
Implied (with margin)67%
Model edge-1.1%
Odds1.49 1/2
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Hubert Hurkacz69%
James Duckworth32%
$105,749 liquidity · $392,242 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Hubert Hurkacz holds serve 87% of games vs James Duckworth's 79%
  • Hubert Hurkacz serves aces on 15% of points vs James Duckworth's 9%
Best valueJames Duckworth+9.0% EV@ 3.00highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Hubert Hurkacz to win64%1.57—
James Duckworth to win36%2.75—
Match Winner — Hubert Hurkacz—1.49—
Match Winner — James Duckworth—3.14—