Hubert Hurkacz v Karen Khachanov
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Tennis·ATP China Open· 2026-10-04 · 03:00

Hubert Hurkacz v Karen Khachanov

Recommended bet
Karen Khachanov
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability54%
Implied (with margin)59%
Model edge-7.5%
Odds1.70 8/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Hubert Hurkacz45%
Karen Khachanov56%
$23,208 liquidity · $593 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Hubert Hurkacz serves aces on 15% of points vs Karen Khachanov's 9%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Hubert Hurkacz to win53%1.90—
Karen Khachanov to win47%2.11—
Match Winner — Hubert Hurkacz—2.25—
Match Winner — Karen Khachanov—1.72—