Hubert Hurkacz v Marcos Giron
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Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-03 · 15:00

Hubert Hurkacz v Marcos Giron

Recommended bet
Hubert Hurkacz
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability62%
Implied (with margin)64%
Model edge-3.3%
Odds1.57 4/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Hubert Hurkacz64%
Marcos Giron37%
$36,156 liquidity · $205 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Hubert Hurkacz holds serve 87% of games vs Marcos Giron's 81%
  • Hubert Hurkacz serves aces on 15% of points vs Marcos Giron's 7%
Best valueMarcos Giron+9.4% EV@ 2.64highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Hubert Hurkacz to win59%1.71—
Marcos Giron to win41%2.41—
Match Winner — Hubert Hurkacz—1.57—
Match Winner — Marcos Giron—2.64—