Iga Swiatek v Marie Bouzkova
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Tennis·WTA US Open· 2026-09-05 · 15:00

Iga Swiatek v Marie Bouzkova

Recommended bet
Iga Swiatek
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)83%
Model edge-1.5%
Odds1.20 1/5
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Iga Swiatek85%
Marie Bouzkova16%
$4,586 liquidity · $246 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Iga Swiatek holds serve 77% of games vs Marie Bouzkova's 66%
  • Marie Bouzkova wins only 45% of 2nd-serve points (Iga Swiatek: 51%)
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Iga Swiatek to win79%1.26—
Marie Bouzkova to win21%4.87—
Match Winner — Iga Swiatek—1.22—
Match Winner — Marie Bouzkova—6.20—