Iga Swiatek v Nadia Podoroska
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Tennis·WTA US Open· 2026-09-02 · 15:00

Iga Swiatek v Nadia Podoroska

Recommended bet
Iga Swiatek
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability95%
Implied (with margin)97%
Model edge-2.2%
Odds1.03 1/33
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Iga Swiatek96%
Nadia Podoroska4%
$32,866 liquidity · $9,679 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Iga Swiatek holds serve 77% of games vs Nadia Podoroska's 60%
  • Nadia Podoroska wins only 43% of 2nd-serve points (Iga Swiatek: 51%)
  • Iga Swiatek wins 48% of return points vs Nadia Podoroska's 42%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Iga Swiatek to win91%1.10—
Nadia Podoroska to win9%11.01—
Match Winner — Iga Swiatek—1.03—
Match Winner — Nadia Podoroska—29.00—