Iva Jović v Francesca Jones
Back to board
Tennis·WTA US Open· 2026-09-03 · 20:00

Iva Jović v Francesca Jones

Recommended bet
Iva Jović
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability83%
Implied (with margin)85%
Model edge-3.0%
Odds1.17 1/6
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Iva Jović85%
Francesca Jones16%
$46,197 liquidity · $581 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Iva Jović holds serve 68% of games vs Francesca Jones's 60%
  • Francesca Jones wins only 42% of 2nd-serve points (Iva Jović: 49%)
  • Francesca Jones double-faults on 5% of serve points vs Iva Jović's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Iva Jović to win74%1.34—
Francesca Jones to win26%3.91—
Match Winner — Francesca Jones—6.80—
Match Winner — Iva Jović—1.17—