Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino
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Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-03 · 15:00

Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino

Recommended bet
Jacob Fearnley
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability58%
Implied (with margin)62%
Model edge-6.3%
Odds1.61 8/13
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Jacob Fearnley62%
Adrian Mannarino39%
$31,838 liquidity · $1,090 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Jacob Fearnley double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Adrian Mannarino's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Adrian Mannarino to win52%1.90—
Jacob Fearnley to win48%2.11—
Match Winner — Adrian Mannarino—2.56—
Match Winner — Jacob Fearnley—1.61—