Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino
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Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-04 · 16:10

Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino

Recommended bet
Jacob Fearnley
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability58%
Implied (with margin)61%
Model edge-5.1%
Odds1.63 8/13
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Jacob Fearnley61%
Adrian Mannarino40%
$74,926 liquidity · $21,999 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Jacob Fearnley double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Adrian Mannarino's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Adrian Mannarino to win52%1.91—
Jacob Fearnley to win48%2.10—
Match Winner — Adrian Mannarino—2.56—
Match Winner — Jacob Fearnley—1.63—