Jacob Fearnley v Jakub Mensik
Back to board
Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-05 · 20:40

Jacob Fearnley v Jakub Mensik

Recommended bet
Jakub Mensik
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability74%
Implied (with margin)71%
Model edge+3.7%
Odds1.41 2/5
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Jacob Fearnley29%
Jakub Mensik71%
$13,350 liquidity · $350 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Jakub Mensik holds serve 83% of games vs Jacob Fearnley's 75%
  • Jacob Fearnley double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Jakub Mensik's 5%
  • Jakub Mensik serves aces on 14% of points vs Jacob Fearnley's 7%
Best valueJakub Mensik+5.7% EV@ 1.41highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Jakub Mensik to win75%1.33—
Jacob Fearnley to win25%3.99—
Match Winner — Jacob Fearnley—3.50—
Match Winner — Jakub Mensik—1.41—