Jacob Fearnley v Sebastian Ofner
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Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-01 · 16:30

Jacob Fearnley v Sebastian Ofner

Recommended bet
Jacob Fearnley
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability57%
Implied (with margin)65%
Model edge-13.4%
Odds1.53 8/15
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Jacob Fearnley61%
Sebastian Ofner40%
$44,169 liquidity · $1,144 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Jacob Fearnley double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Sebastian Ofner's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Sebastian Ofner to win58%1.73—
Jacob Fearnley to win42%2.37—
Match Winner — Jacob Fearnley—1.59—
Match Winner — Sebastian Ofner—2.49—