Jaime Faria v Carlos Alcaraz
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Jaime Faria v Carlos Alcaraz
Recommended bet
Carlos Alcaraz
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)90%
Model edge-1.9%
Odds1.11 1/9
Why the model leans this way
- Carlos Alcaraz holds serve 87% of games vs Jaime Faria's 78%
- Jaime Faria wins only 50% of 2nd-serve points (Carlos Alcaraz: 57%)
- Carlos Alcaraz wins 41% of return points vs Jaime Faria's 35%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Carlos Alcaraz to win90%1.11—
Jaime Faria to win10%9.78—
Match Winner — Carlos Alcaraz—1.12—
Match Winner — Jaime Faria—9.15—