Tennis·ATP US Open· 2026-09-01 · 19:00

Jan Choinski v Botic van de Zandschulp

Recommended bet

Botic van de Zandschulp

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh

Win probability73%

Implied (with margin)78%

Model edge-6.0%

Odds1.29 2/7

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Jan Choinski24%

Botic van de Zandschulp77%

$34,713 liquidity · $662 traded · data from Polymarket

Why the model leans this way

Botic van de Zandschulp double-faults on 5% of serve points vs Jan Choinski's 3%

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Botic van de Zandschulp to win62%1.61—

Jan Choinski to win38%2.64—

Match Winner — Botic van de Zandschulp—1.29—

Match Winner — Jan Choinski—4.33—