Jasmine Paolini v Lucrezia Stefanini
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Tennis·WTA US Open· 2026-09-02 · 18:00

Jasmine Paolini v Lucrezia Stefanini

Recommended bet
Jasmine Paolini
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability69%
Implied (with margin)68%
Model edge+0.9%
Odds1.46 4/9
Why the model leans this way
  • Jasmine Paolini holds serve 67% of games vs Lucrezia Stefanini's 58%
  • Lucrezia Stefanini wins only 43% of 2nd-serve points (Jasmine Paolini: 48%)
  • Lucrezia Stefanini double-faults on 5% of serve points vs Jasmine Paolini's 3%
Best valueJasmine Paolini+6.2% EV@ 1.46highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Jasmine Paolini to win73%1.38
Lucrezia Stefanini to win27%3.66
Match Winner — Jasmine Paolini1.46
Match Winner — Lucrezia Stefanini3.05