Jelena Ostapenko v Elise Mertens
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Tennis·WTA China Open· 2026-10-05 · 03:00

Jelena Ostapenko v Elise Mertens

Recommended bet
Elise Mertens
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability63%
Implied (with margin)64%
Model edge-2.1%
Odds1.56 4/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Jelena Ostapenko38%
Elise Mertens63%
$23,163 liquidity · $171 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Elise Mertens holds serve 71% of games vs Jelena Ostapenko's 65%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Elise Mertens to win64%1.56—
Jelena Ostapenko to win36%2.80—
Match Winner — Elise Mertens—1.57—
Match Winner — Jelena Ostapenko—2.56—