Tennis·WTA US Open· 2026-09-04 · 00:40

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Elena Rybakina

Recommended bet

Elena Rybakina

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh

Win probability84%

Implied (with margin)83%

Model edge+0.5%

Odds1.20 1/5

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro17%

Elena Rybakina84%

$64,669 liquidity · $71,229 traded · data from Polymarket

Why the model leans this way

Elena Rybakina holds serve 81% of games vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro's 62%
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro wins only 44% of 2nd-serve points (Elena Rybakina: 50%)
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Elena Rybakina's 4%

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Elena Rybakina to win84%1.18—

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro to win16%6.43—

Match Winner — Elena Rybakina—1.20—

Match Winner — Jessica Bouzas Maneiro—5.70—