Jessica Pegula v Coco Gauff
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Jessica Pegula v Coco Gauff
Recommended bet
Jessica Pegula
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability55%
Implied (with margin)58%
Model edge-6.1%
Odds1.72 8/11
Why the model leans this way
- Jessica Pegula holds serve 75% of games vs Coco Gauff's 68%
- Coco Gauff wins only 43% of 2nd-serve points (Jessica Pegula: 50%)
- Coco Gauff double-faults on 8% of serve points vs Jessica Pegula's 3%
Best valueCoco Gauff+6.2% EV@ 2.18highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Jessica Pegula to win51%1.95—
Coco Gauff to win49%2.05—
Match Winner — Coco Gauff—2.22—
Match Winner — Jessica Pegula—1.75—