Jessica Pegula v Katerina Siniakova
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Tennis·WTA German Open· 2026-06-17 · 10:30

Jessica Pegula v Katerina Siniakova

Recommended bet
Jessica Pegula
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability68%
Implied (with margin)65%
Model edge+4.7%
Odds1.54 8/15
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Jessica Pegula65%
Katerina Siniakova36%
$13,443 liquidity · $586 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Jessica Pegula holds serve 75% of games vs Katerina Siniakova's 64%
  • Katerina Siniakova wins only 44% of 2nd-serve points (Jessica Pegula: 50%)
  • Katerina Siniakova double-faults on 6% of serve points vs Jessica Pegula's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Jessica Pegula to win77%1.29—
Katerina Siniakova to win23%4.41—
Match Winner — Jessica Pegula—1.54—
Match Winner — Katerina Siniakova—2.67—