Jessica Pegula v Madison Keys
Back to board
Tennis·WTA German Open· 2026-06-19 · 09:05

Jessica Pegula v Madison Keys

Recommended bet
Jessica Pegula
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability58%
Implied (with margin)54%
Model edge+7.0%
Odds1.84 5/6
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Jessica Pegula56%
Madison Keys44%
$16,443 liquidity · $164 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Madison Keys double-faults on 5% of serve points vs Jessica Pegula's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Jessica Pegula to win66%1.52—
Madison Keys to win34%2.92—
Match Winner — Jessica Pegula—1.84—
Match Winner — Madison Keys—2.16—