Jessica Pegula v Sofia Kenin
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Tennis·WTA US Open· 2026-09-02 · 15:00

Jessica Pegula v Sofia Kenin

Recommended bet
Jessica Pegula
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability92%
Implied (with margin)93%
Model edge-1.6%
Odds1.07 1/14
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Jessica Pegula93%
Sofia Kenin8%
$27,263 liquidity · $32 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Jessica Pegula holds serve 75% of games vs Sofia Kenin's 68%
  • Sofia Kenin double-faults on 5% of serve points vs Jessica Pegula's 3%
  • Jessica Pegula wins 45% of return points vs Sofia Kenin's 40%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Jessica Pegula to win86%1.17—
Sofia Kenin to win14%7.00—
Match Winner — Jessica Pegula—1.07—
Match Winner — Sofia Kenin—14.00—