Karolina Muchova v Katie Boulter
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Tennis·WTA China Open· 2026-10-02 · 07:00

Karolina Muchova v Katie Boulter

Recommended bet
Karolina Muchova
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability81%
Implied (with margin)85%
Model edge-4.8%
Odds1.18 2/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Karolina Muchova84%
Katie Boulter17%
$165,464 liquidity · $10,561 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Karolina Muchova holds serve 74% of games vs Katie Boulter's 67%
  • Katie Boulter wins only 44% of 2nd-serve points (Karolina Muchova: 49%)
  • Katie Boulter double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Karolina Muchova's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Karolina Muchova to win70%1.43—
Katie Boulter to win30%3.30—
Match Winner — Karolina Muchova—1.18—
Match Winner — Katie Boulter—6.75—