Karolina Muchova v Liudmila Samsonova
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Tennis·WTA China Open· 2026-10-04 · 12:30

Karolina Muchova v Liudmila Samsonova

Recommended bet
Karolina Muchova
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge-3.0%
Odds1.29 2/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Karolina Muchova78%
Liudmila Samsonova23%
$51,700 liquidity · $2,090 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Liudmila Samsonova double-faults on 6% of serve points vs Karolina Muchova's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Karolina Muchova to win69%1.45—
Liudmila Samsonova to win31%3.20—
Match Winner — Karolina Muchova—1.29—
Match Winner — Liudmila Samsonova—4.30—