Karolina Muchova v Nikola Bartunkova
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Tennis·WTA China Open· 2026-10-08 · 03:00

Karolina Muchova v Nikola Bartunkova

Recommended bet
Karolina Muchova
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability69%
Implied (with margin)70%
Model edge-1.5%
Odds1.42 2/5
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Karolina Muchova70%
Nikola Bartunkova31%
$24,499 liquidity · $130 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Karolina Muchova holds serve 74% of games vs Nikola Bartunkova's 65%
  • Nikola Bartunkova wins only 44% of 2nd-serve points (Karolina Muchova: 49%)
  • Nikola Bartunkova double-faults on 6% of serve points vs Karolina Muchova's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Karolina Muchova to win68%1.47—
Nikola Bartunkova to win32%3.11—
Match Winner — Karolina Muchova—1.42—
Match Winner — Nikola Bartunkova—3.25—