Karolina Muchova v Shuai Zhang
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Karolina Muchova v Shuai Zhang
Recommended bet
Karolina Muchova
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)86%
Model edge-4.4%
Odds1.16 2/13
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Karolina Muchova85%
Shuai Zhang16%
Why the model leans this way
- Karolina Muchova holds serve 74% of games vs Shuai Zhang's 63%
- Shuai Zhang wins only 44% of 2nd-serve points (Karolina Muchova: 49%)
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Karolina Muchova to win74%1.34—
Shuai Zhang to win26%3.91—
Match Winner — Karolina Muchova—1.16—
Match Winner — Shuai Zhang—6.95—