Karolina Pliskova v Iga Swiatek
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Karolina Pliskova v Iga Swiatek
Recommended bet
Iga Swiatek
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge+3.4%
Odds1.30 3/10
Why the model leans this way
- Iga Swiatek holds serve 77% of games vs Karolina Pliskova's 70%
- Karolina Pliskova wins only 43% of 2nd-serve points (Iga Swiatek: 51%)
- Karolina Pliskova double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Iga Swiatek's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Iga Swiatek to win85%1.18—
Karolina Pliskova to win15%6.71—
Match Winner — Iga Swiatek—1.30—
Match Winner — Karolina Pliskova—4.36—