Katie Boulter v Karolina Muchova
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Tennis·WTA US Open· 2026-09-02 · 15:00

Katie Boulter v Karolina Muchova

Recommended bet
Karolina Muchova
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)83%
Model edge-5.4%
Odds1.21 1/5
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Katie Boulter18%
Karolina Muchova83%
$8,948 liquidity · $309 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Karolina Muchova holds serve 74% of games vs Katie Boulter's 67%
  • Katie Boulter wins only 44% of 2nd-serve points (Karolina Muchova: 49%)
  • Katie Boulter double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Karolina Muchova's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Karolina Muchova to win69%1.46—
Katie Boulter to win31%3.19—
Match Winner — Karolina Muchova—1.21—
Match Winner — Katie Boulter—4.90—