Katie Volynets v Elise Mertens
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Tennis·WTA China Open· 2026-10-03 · 03:00

Katie Volynets v Elise Mertens

Recommended bet
Elise Mertens
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability57%
Implied (with margin)54%
Model edge+5.9%
Odds1.86 5/6
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Katie Volynets48%
Elise Mertens53%
$88,718 liquidity · $18,520 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Elise Mertens holds serve 71% of games vs Katie Volynets's 59%
  • Elise Mertens double-faults on 6% of serve points vs Katie Volynets's 2%
  • Elise Mertens serves aces on 6% of points vs Katie Volynets's 2%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Elise Mertens to win69%1.45—
Katie Volynets to win31%3.23—
Match Winner — Elise Mertens—1.86—
Match Winner — Katie Volynets—2.14—