Lorenzo Musetti v Hubert Hurkacz
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Tennis·ATP Paris Masters· 2026-11-02 · 10:00

Lorenzo Musetti v Hubert Hurkacz

Recommended bet
Hubert Hurkacz
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability49%
Implied (with margin)53%
Model edge-8.4%
Odds1.88 10/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Lorenzo Musetti49%
Hubert Hurkacz52%
$101,399 liquidity · $13,204 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Lorenzo Musetti wins 38% of return points vs Hubert Hurkacz's 34%
  • Hubert Hurkacz serves aces on 15% of points vs Lorenzo Musetti's 6%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Lorenzo Musetti to win60%1.67—
Hubert Hurkacz to win40%2.49—
Match Winner — Hubert Hurkacz—1.91—
Match Winner — Lorenzo Musetti—2.05—