Maria Timofeeva v Elise Mertens
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Maria Timofeeva v Elise Mertens
Recommended bet
Elise Mertens
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability72%
Implied (with margin)74%
Model edge-1.8%
Odds1.36 4/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Maria Timofeeva27%
Elise Mertens74%
Why the model leans this way
- Elise Mertens holds serve 71% of games vs Maria Timofeeva's 60%
- Elise Mertens double-faults on 6% of serve points vs Maria Timofeeva's 5%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Elise Mertens to win68%1.47—
Maria Timofeeva to win32%3.12—
Match Winner — Elise Mertens—1.36—
Match Winner — Maria Timofeeva—3.65—