Mariano Navone v Pablo Carreno Busta
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Tennis·ATP Shanghai Masters· 2026-10-08 · 04:00

Mariano Navone v Pablo Carreno Busta

Recommended bet
Mariano Navone
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability55%
Implied (with margin)56%
Model edge-1.5%
Odds1.79 4/5
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Mariano Navone57%
Pablo Carreno Busta43%
$136,850 liquidity · $27,830 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Mariano Navone wins 41% of return points vs Pablo Carreno Busta's 35%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Mariano Navone to win55%1.83—
Pablo Carreno Busta to win45%2.21—
Match Winner — Mariano Navone—1.83—
Match Winner — Pablo Carreno Busta—2.24—