Marie Bouzkova v Qinwen Zheng
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Tennis·WTA China Open· 2026-10-05 · 03:00

Marie Bouzkova v Qinwen Zheng

Recommended bet
Qinwen Zheng
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability54%
Implied (with margin)54%
Model edge+0.2%
Odds1.86 5/6
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Marie Bouzkova46%
Qinwen Zheng55%
$8,374 liquidity · $288 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Qinwen Zheng holds serve 73% of games vs Marie Bouzkova's 66%
  • Qinwen Zheng serves aces on 9% of points vs Marie Bouzkova's 3%
Best valueMarie Bouzkova+2.9% EV@ 2.14highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Qinwen Zheng to win52%1.93—
Marie Bouzkova to win48%2.08—
Match Winner — Marie Bouzkova—2.14—
Match Winner — Qinwen Zheng—1.86—