Tennis·ATP Japan Open· 2026-10-03 · 02:00

Matteo Berrettini v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Recommended bet

Matteo Berrettini

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketMed

Win probability63%

Implied (with margin)60%

Model edge+4.5%

Odds1.66 4/6

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Matteo Berrettini61%

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo40%

$47,243 liquidity · $22 traded · data from Polymarket

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Matteo Berrettini to win70%1.43—

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo to win30%3.33—

Match Winner — Adolfo Daniel Vallejo—2.43—

Match Winner — Matteo Berrettini—1.66—