Matteo Berrettini v Mariano Navone
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Matteo Berrettini v Mariano Navone
Recommended bet
Matteo Berrettini
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability61%
Implied (with margin)63%
Model edge-2.9%
Odds1.59 4/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Matteo Berrettini62%
Mariano Navone39%
Why the model leans this way
- Matteo Berrettini holds serve 86% of games vs Mariano Navone's 72%
- Mariano Navone wins 41% of return points vs Matteo Berrettini's 34%
- Matteo Berrettini serves aces on 12% of points vs Mariano Navone's 3%
Best valueMariano Navone+5.3% EV@ 2.50highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Matteo Berrettini to win58%1.73—
Mariano Navone to win42%2.37—
Match Winner — Mariano Navone—2.53—
Match Winner — Matteo Berrettini—1.59—