Matteo Berrettini v Mariano Navone
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Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-03 · 15:00

Matteo Berrettini v Mariano Navone

Recommended bet
Matteo Berrettini
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability62%
Implied (with margin)64%
Model edge-2.5%
Odds1.57 4/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Matteo Berrettini64%
Mariano Navone37%
$115,447 liquidity · $172,863 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Matteo Berrettini holds serve 86% of games vs Mariano Navone's 72%
  • Mariano Navone wins 41% of return points vs Matteo Berrettini's 34%
  • Matteo Berrettini serves aces on 12% of points vs Mariano Navone's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Matteo Berrettini to win58%1.73—
Mariano Navone to win42%2.37—
Match Winner — Mariano Navone—2.74—
Match Winner — Matteo Berrettini—1.57—