Tennis·ATP Paris Masters· 2026-11-04 · 15:40

Matteo Berrettini v Ugo Humbert

Recommended bet

Ugo Humbert

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketMed

Win probability50%

Implied (with margin)51%

Model edge-2.5%

Odds1.95 10/11

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Matteo Berrettini48%

Ugo Humbert53%

$44,532 liquidity · $11,508 traded · data from Polymarket

Best valueMatteo Berrettini+7.6% EV@ 2.04highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Matteo Berrettini to win53%1.90—

Ugo Humbert to win47%2.12—

Match Winner — Matteo Berrettini—2.06—

Match Winner — Ugo Humbert—1.95—