Mattia Bellucci v Alexander Bublik
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Mattia Bellucci v Alexander Bublik
Recommended bet
Alexander Bublik
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability73%
Implied (with margin)70%
Model edge+3.3%
Odds1.42 2/5
Why the model leans this way
- Alexander Bublik holds serve 84% of games vs Mattia Bellucci's 77%
- Alexander Bublik double-faults on 6% of serve points vs Mattia Bellucci's 4%
- Alexander Bublik serves aces on 14% of points vs Mattia Bellucci's 9%
Best valueAlexander Bublik+4.3% EV@ 1.42highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Alexander Bublik to win73%1.36—
Mattia Bellucci to win27%3.76—
Match Winner — Alexander Bublik—1.42—
Match Winner — Mattia Bellucci—3.35—