Nikola Bartunkova v Tatjana Maria
Back to board
Tennis·WTA US Open· 2026-09-03 · 18:30

Nikola Bartunkova v Tatjana Maria

Recommended bet
Nikola Bartunkova
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability69%
Implied (with margin)70%
Model edge-0.8%
Odds1.43 4/9
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Nikola Bartunkova71%
Tatjana Maria30%
$70,802 liquidity · $4,836 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Nikola Bartunkova double-faults on 6% of serve points vs Tatjana Maria's 4%
Best valueTatjana Maria+7.3% EV@ 3.30highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Nikola Bartunkova to win67%1.48—
Tatjana Maria to win33%3.07—
Match Winner — Nikola Bartunkova—1.43—
Match Winner — Tatjana Maria—3.30—