Tennis·ATP China Open· 2026-10-06 · 11:00

Novak Djokovic v Alex de Minaur

Recommended bet

Novak Djokovic

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketMed

Win probability63%

Implied (with margin)63%

Model edge-0.0%

Odds1.58 4/7

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Novak Djokovic63%

Alex de Minaur38%

$71,108 liquidity · $6,347 traded · data from Polymarket

Best valueNovak Djokovic+3.1% EV@ 1.58highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Novak Djokovic to win65%1.53—

Alex de Minaur to win35%2.88—

Match Winner — Alex de Minaur—2.68—

Match Winner — Novak Djokovic—1.58—