Nuno Borges v Felix Auger-Aliassime
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Nuno Borges v Felix Auger-Aliassime
Recommended bet
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability73%
Implied (with margin)72%
Model edge+0.4%
Odds1.38 4/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Nuno Borges28%
Felix Auger-Aliassime72%
Why the model leans this way
- Felix Auger-Aliassime holds serve 86% of games vs Nuno Borges's 80%
- Felix Auger-Aliassime serves aces on 13% of points vs Nuno Borges's 7%
Best valueFelix Auger-Aliassime+6.1% EV@ 1.38highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Felix Auger-Aliassime to win77%1.30—
Nuno Borges to win23%4.33—
Match Winner — Felix Auger-Aliassime—1.38—
Match Winner — Nuno Borges—3.55—