Tennis·WTA Canadian Open· 2026-08-03 · 15:00

Oleksandra Oliynykova v Karolina Pliskova

Recommended bet

Karolina Pliskova

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh

Win probability70%

Implied (with margin)76%

Model edge-8.7%

Odds1.31 3/10

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Oleksandra Oliynykova25%

Karolina Pliskova76%

$31,364 liquidity · $6,544 traded · data from Polymarket

Why the model leans this way

Karolina Pliskova holds serve 70% of games vs Oleksandra Oliynykova's 63%
Karolina Pliskova double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Oleksandra Oliynykova's 4%
Karolina Pliskova serves aces on 6% of points vs Oleksandra Oliynykova's 2%

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Oleksandra Oliynykova to win51%1.96—

Karolina Pliskova to win49%2.04—

Match Winner — Karolina Pliskova—1.31—

Match Winner — Oleksandra Oliynykova—4.00—